Andrew Wiggins‘ draft stock has seen better days. Try six weeks ago.

His seemingly bulletproof stock has taken a hit since the start of the season. There are a lot more open seats on Wiggins’ bandwagon than in October.

For the most part, you can blame that on his stiff competition. While Wiggins still offers No. 1 overall upside, he’s not the only one in this field with a franchise-player ceiling. 

I like to think of stock watch among top pick candidates as a 30-number roulette table, with each number on the board representing a different NBA team. The goal for each prospect should be to convince as many teams on the board as possible that they’re the top prospect. The more teams you cover, the better your odds are of hitting when the dealer spins the wheel—or in this case, conducts the lottery.

You got the feeling Wiggins had everyone (prematurely) convinced—that he had practically each team on the board covered. But after about six weeks of up-and-down play, he no longer has control of it. 

Duke’s Jabari Parker has moved his way in, convincing many that he’s now the top prospect in the country.

“I had never seen a freshman score like him,” Arizona assistant Joe Pasternack toldSports Illustrated‘s Luke Winn, “and I think he can be the No. 1 pick in the NBA draft.”

 Compared to Wiggins, who only has three 20-plus point games through 11 played, Parker has hit the 20-point mark in nine of his first 11. Parker has been more impressive and consistent than Wiggins, whose tendency to take a backseat has raised questions about his potential to emerge as a top gun or go-to weapon.

 Parker, along with Kentucky’s Julius Randle and Oklahoma State’s Marcus Smart, has been the more dominant player early on.

 

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